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Red121
491147.3
281137.0
252133.1
Blue111
204647.2
292822.7
154031.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010580100120140160121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.2
39.640.8
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
red by 0.1
2046
#11
47.20.8
51.151.9
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
Second
2811
#15
37.01.2
32.633.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.6
red by 5.9
1540
#30
31.10.8
30.130.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End7.9
Third
2521
#16
33.11.2
30.731.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End10.8
red by 10.3
2928
#40
22.70.8
17.818.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned