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Red99
408937.9
635026.7
255736.6
Blue36
404318.3
5689.6
263511.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113360501001509936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#22
37.90.2
39.339.5
Auto12.9
Teleop19.7
End5.2
red by 19.6
4043
#48
18.30.5
19.719.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End5.2
Second
2557
#18
36.60.2
34.534.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 24.8
2635
#46
11.80.5
12.411.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Third
6350
#20
26.70.2
22.322.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.3
End11.1
red by 17.2
568
#47
9.60.5
11.611.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed