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Red42
363633.3
378619.0
241217.7
Blue89
99722.9
95536.4
95724.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829240601001201404289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#32
33.32.4
36.634.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
blue by 3.1
955
#10
36.40.2
37.437.2
Auto9.7
Teleop21.0
End5.7
Second
3786
#44
19.02.4
22.620.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 5.7
957
#14
24.70.2
22.922.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Third
2412
#45
17.72.4
18.716.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.1
End3.5
blue by 5.3
997
#8
22.90.2
24.324.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned