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Red67
263511.8
247139.6
413117.1
Blue106
367427.1
214741.2
204647.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631285010015020067106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.0
40.140.0
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End8.4
blue by 7.7
2046
#11
47.20.9
48.647.7
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
Second
4131
#33
17.10.0
15.715.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
blue by 24.1
41.20.9
37.136.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.1
End7.9
Third
2635
#46
11.80.0
11.511.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
blue by 15.3
3674
#12
27.10.9
26.525.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned