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Red99
703436.4
746130.9
366329.5
Blue76
371126.1
635026.7
321827.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018440601201401609976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7034
#19
36.40.4
33.834.3
Auto10.2
Teleop17.0
End9.2
red by 8.6
3218
#25
27.80.6
30.830.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End11.9
Second
7461
#27
30.90.4
27.127.6
Auto9.0
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 4.2
6350
#20
26.70.6
24.223.6
Auto2.3
Teleop13.3
End11.1
Third
3663
#24
29.50.4
31.431.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End7.7
red by 3.4
3711
#21
26.10.6
26.025.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.6
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsEarned