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Red84
448839.8
255736.6
413117.1
Blue111
247139.6
252228.0
297634.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910740608012014016018084111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.7
44.243.5
Auto12.0
Teleop21.0
End6.8
red by 0.3
39.60.8
40.040.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End8.4
Second
2557
#18
36.60.7
34.333.6
Auto11.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 1.9
34.70.8
31.532.3
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Third
4131
#33
17.10.7
15.715.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
blue by 10.9
2522
#23
28.00.8
27.928.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned