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Red119
247139.6
299038.5
49230.4
Blue55
99722.9
252133.1
404318.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12276406010014016018011955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.7
40.841.5
Auto9.6
Teleop21.5
End8.4
red by 6.5
2521
#16
33.11.5
34.633.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End10.8
Second
2990
#28
38.50.7
38.839.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.0
End12.5
red by 15.5
997
#8
22.91.5
24.623.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End12.7
Third
492
#17
30.40.7
28.929.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End6.9
red by 12.1
4043
#48
18.31.5
18.216.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned