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Red101
252228.0
95724.7
293036.8
Blue105
263511.8
746130.9
491147.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9395708090100110120101105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.1
36.937.0
Auto12.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
blue by 10.5
47.30.8
48.148.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End9.6
Second
2522
#23
28.00.1
27.627.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End8.1
blue by 2.9
7461
#27
30.90.8
29.430.2
Auto9.0
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Third
957
#14
24.70.1
23.323.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
red by 12.9
2635
#46
11.80.8
11.312.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed