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Red75
135917.3
154031.1
363633.3
Blue124
635026.7
204647.2
159527.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86107406010012014016075124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#32
33.30.6
34.033.5
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
blue by 13.9
2046
#11
47.21.2
45.847.1
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
Second
1540
#30
31.10.6
31.631.1
Auto9.3
Teleop13.8
End7.9
red by 3.1
27.91.2
26.427.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Third
1359
#41
17.30.6
17.817.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 9.5
6350
#20
26.71.2
25.526.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned