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Red125
204647.2
297634.7
48824.7
Blue75
363633.3
293036.8
367427.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119103608014016018012575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#11
47.20.2
48.248.4
Auto13.6
Teleop25.4
End8.2
red by 10.4
36.80.5
37.436.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.3
End8.2
Second
34.70.2
35.635.8
Auto10.6
Teleop17.4
End6.7
red by 1.4
3636
#32
33.30.5
33.833.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End7.5
Third
488
#34
24.70.2
25.625.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End12.3
blue by 2.4
3674
#12
27.10.5
27.627.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End7.1