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Red21
355022.3
33798.3
54438.7
Blue16
552810.2
29610.5
66229.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273601020405060702116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.6
9.79.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.1
red by 11.8
296
#11
10.52.7
10.67.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Second
5443
#14
8.70.6
8.17.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 1.5
5528
#13
10.22.7
13.210.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
8.30.6
8.78.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End2.3
blue by 0.7
6622
#12
9.02.7
8.55.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed