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Red31
543914.3
66229.0
33868.8
Blue11
29610.5
686910.6
55705.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34220103040506070803111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.30.4
14.414.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End4.9
red by 3.7
10.61.3
8.77.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End4.4
Second
6622
#12
9.00.4
5.45.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.3
blue by 1.5
296
#11
10.51.3
7.15.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Third
3386
#10
8.80.4
10.610.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End4.5
red by 3.8
5570
#15
5.01.3
6.65.4
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed