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Red36
495211.7
543914.3
770011.5
Blue34
686910.6
552810.2
33868.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422402060803634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.30.1
14.013.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End4.9
red by 3.7
10.61.0
7.48.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End4.4
Second
11.70.1
12.912.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.9
red by 1.5
5528
#13
10.21.0
7.38.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
11.50.1
10.410.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End4.9
red by 2.7
3386
#10
8.81.0
10.211.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed