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Red62
398622.7
355022.3
29610.5
Blue34
495211.7
760518.0
543914.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514630406070806234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.5
18.720.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End8.0
red by 4.8
18.01.0
17.816.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End7.8
Second
22.31.5
20.321.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.1
red by 8.0
14.31.0
14.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End4.9
Third
296
#11
10.51.5
8.39.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 1.2
11.71.0
12.011.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsMissed