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Red80
336014.1
399030.2
813211.5
Blue70
552811.7
760518.9
398514.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60452040801008070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
29.930.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End6.0
red by 11.3
18.90.2
18.718.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End8.1
Second
3360
#11
14.10.5
13.514.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End4.7
blue by 0.6
14.60.3
14.414.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
Third
8132
#10
11.50.5
10.911.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End3.5
blue by 0.2
5528
#12
11.70.2
11.511.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End1.2