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Red19
336014.1
81526.8
552811.7
Blue52
692911.8
398514.6
813211.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3227010204050601952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#11
14.11.2
12.010.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End4.7
blue by 0.6
14.62.5
8.611.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
Second
5528
#12
11.70.7
9.08.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End1.2
blue by 0.1
11.82.5
10.412.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End7.2
Third
8152
#13
6.81.2
8.57.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End2.9
blue by 4.6
8132
#10
11.52.5
6.79.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned