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Red74
495514.6
399030.2
336014.1
Blue18
35339.0
45944.2
81526.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5919040801007418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.6
27.629.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End6.0
red by 21.2
9.01.0
9.68.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.3
Second
14.62.7
11.113.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.9
red by 7.7
8152
#13
6.81.0
7.96.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Third
3360
#11
14.12.7
11.314.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End4.7
red by 9.9
4594
#16
4.21.0
5.04.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed