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Red53
586516.4
692911.8
35339.0
Blue18
813211.5
45944.2
544010.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42240102030506070805318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.0
16.316.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End5.9
red by 5.0
8132
#10
11.50.7
11.110.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End3.5
Second
11.80.0
12.912.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End7.2
red by 1.4
10.40.7
9.58.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End4.2
Third
9.00.0
7.77.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.3
red by 4.8
4594
#16
4.20.7
4.13.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed