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Red37
692911.8
495514.6
45944.2
Blue58
760518.9
399030.2
813211.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26690204060801001203758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.3
14.014.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.9
blue by 15.7
30.20.1
29.028.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End6.0
Second
11.80.3
12.913.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End7.2
blue by 7.2
18.90.1
19.919.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End8.1
Third
4594
#16
4.20.3
3.33.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End1.4
blue by 7.3
8132
#10
11.50.1
10.410.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsMissed