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Red40
262614.5
495514.6
82244.6
Blue36
336014.1
35339.0
398514.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373820253035404550554036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.7
14.313.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.9
blue by 0.1
14.60.1
13.713.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
Second
14.50.7
15.214.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End8.4
red by 0.4
3360
#11
14.10.1
12.612.7
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End4.7
Third
8224
#15
4.60.7
5.34.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.5
End1.9
blue by 4.4
9.00.1
9.09.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed