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Red47
692911.8
552811.7
760518.9
Blue64
35339.0
262614.5
399030.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060804764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.1
17.817.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End8.1
blue by 11.3
30.21.4
25.827.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End6.0
Second
11.80.2
9.910.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End7.2
blue by 2.7
14.52.2
10.712.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End8.4
Third
5528
#12
11.70.1
9.69.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End1.2
red by 2.6
9.02.2
8.010.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned