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Red93
398624.8
399033.7
806710.9
Blue32
494717.2
355024.2
543913.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74582040801009332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.5
33.233.7
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End6.9
red by 9.5
24.20.6
24.824.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Second
24.80.5
24.324.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End8.0
red by 7.6
17.20.7
17.917.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Third
10.90.6
10.310.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.1
blue by 2.6
5439
#10
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3