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Red29
543913.5
29610.7
35449.1
Blue56
338611.6
399033.7
49570.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35490204060802956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5439
#10
13.50.4
13.513.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
blue by 20.1
33.70.3
31.231.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End6.9
Second
296
#7
10.70.4
12.011.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 0.9
11.60.3
9.39.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Third
3544
#13
9.10.7
9.58.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.6
red by 8.7
4957
#16
0.40.5
3.43.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned