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Red44
806710.9
74716.1
336014.7
Blue56
355024.2
31176.4
338611.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30460204060801004456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.70.9
12.613.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End6.4
blue by 9.6
24.20.7
20.621.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Second
10.91.6
11.212.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.1
blue by 0.7
11.60.7
9.610.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Third
7471
#15
6.11.6
6.17.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End1.1
blue by 0.3
3117
#12
6.41.2
11.112.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed