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Red45
561813.3
29610.7
399616.9
Blue27
74716.1
338611.6
543913.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403210205060704527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.91.0
13.013.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End5.0
red by 3.4
5439
#10
13.50.3
14.314.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Second
5618
#11
13.31.0
12.913.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 1.7
11.60.3
8.88.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Third
296
#7
10.70.7
10.511.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.0
red by 4.6
7471
#15
6.10.4
7.77.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed