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Red28
49570.4
74716.1
398624.8
Blue77
399616.9
399033.7
494717.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28740204060801001202877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.3
24.824.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End8.0
blue by 8.9
33.70.9
32.533.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End6.9
Second
7471
#15
6.10.4
6.56.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End1.1
blue by 11.1
17.21.3
15.717.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Third
4957
#16
0.40.4
0.80.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop-0.4
End1.1
blue by 16.5
16.91.3
15.116.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned