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Red63
398624.8
399033.7
806710.9
Blue36
31176.4
338611.6
29610.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8022040601001206336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.3
33.333.0
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End6.9
red by 22.1
11.60.2
11.511.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Second
24.80.3
24.424.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End8.0
red by 14.1
296
#7
10.70.2
10.610.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
10.90.4
10.410.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.1
red by 4.5
3117
#12
6.40.2
6.26.4
Auto0.6
Teleop3.8
End2.0