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Red74
494717.2
355024.2
543913.5
Blue56
336014.7
399616.9
561813.3
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001207456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.4
24.224.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End4.9
red by 7.3
16.90.4
16.616.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End5.0
Second
17.20.6
17.117.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
red by 2.5
14.70.3
14.414.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End6.4
Third
5439
#10
13.50.4
13.513.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 0.2
5618
#11
13.30.4
13.013.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End2.5