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Red146
331051.0
6759.2
445140.7
Blue126
353444.2
594054.3
632846.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16715850100200250300146126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#9
59.20.5
60.760.2
Auto13.4
Teleop31.9
End13.9
red by 4.9
54.30.5
55.855.3
Auto13.7
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
51.00.5
52.552.0
Auto11.4
Teleop28.0
End11.7
red by 4.5
6328
#22
46.50.5
48.047.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.9
Third
4451
#30
40.70.5
42.241.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.3
End11.1
blue by 3.5
3534
#35
44.20.5
45.745.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End11.5