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Red116
23045.7
283433.8
286917.4
Blue101
460734.5
74831.5
233836.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10669050150200116101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
45.71.1
45.846.9
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
red by 9.0
2338
#32
36.72.1
40.542.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End13.6
Second
2834
#39
33.81.1
32.733.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.2
End5.3
blue by 0.6
4607
#46
34.52.1
30.732.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End9.6
Third
2869
#55
17.41.1
16.517.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End7.1
red by 15.9
7483
#76
1.52.1
-1.80.3
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.1
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned