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Red131
459326.5
4141.9
307536.2
Blue25
543716.1
871714.3
748515.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12144010015013125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#11
41.91.3
41.042.3
Auto7.9
Teleop26.1
End7.9
red by 25.7
5437
#54
16.12.0
17.615.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Second
3075
#45
36.21.3
37.138.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
red by 20.5
7485
#69
15.72.0
17.615.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End8.0
Third
4593
#58
26.51.3
25.727.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End7.3
red by 12.2
8717
#73
14.32.0
16.314.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed