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Red77
233836.7
198742.7
401316.2
Blue119
10734.0
337440.4
221217.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079205015020077119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#26
42.71.4
45.443.9
Auto12.7
Teleop22.7
End7.2
red by 2.2
3374
#18
40.41.5
38.439.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.2
End11.6
Second
2338
#32
36.71.4
39.337.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End13.6
red by 2.7
107
#19
34.01.5
33.935.5
Auto12.1
Teleop11.7
End10.3
Third
4013
#72
16.21.4
13.812.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 1.5
2212
#70
17.81.5
15.717.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned