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Red144
201632.9
346737.5
6759.2
Blue89
878811.8
591336.5
448840.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147905010020014489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#9
59.20.6
61.862.4
Auto13.4
Teleop31.9
End13.9
red by 18.6
4488
#24
40.60.5
42.341.8
Auto11.5
Teleop22.2
End6.9
Second
3467
#17
37.50.6
36.737.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End13.3
red by 1.0
5913
#41
36.50.5
37.336.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.2
End6.4
Third
2016
#57
32.90.6
32.332.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End12.5
red by 21.1
8788
#75
11.80.5
12.311.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsMissed