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Red126
363634.2
23045.7
35940.0
Blue137
401316.2
632846.5
190221.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13471050100150200126137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
45.70.5
44.945.5
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
blue by 0.9
6328
#22
46.53.9
44.848.7
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.9
Second
359
#38
40.00.5
39.540.0
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End8.4
red by 18.8
1902
#48
21.23.9
17.321.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End6.3
Third
3636
#56
34.20.5
33.634.2
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End8.9
red by 17.9
4013
#72
16.23.9
12.316.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned