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Red114
493019.7
448142.5
362040.6
Blue123
337440.4
594054.3
219920.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103126050150200114123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#10
42.51.0
41.342.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.7
End6.4
blue by 11.8
54.30.5
56.056.4
Auto13.7
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
3620
#21
40.61.0
39.640.6
Auto9.3
Teleop20.5
End10.7
red by 0.1
3374
#18
40.40.5
39.940.4
Auto10.6
Teleop18.2
End11.6
Third
4930
#74
19.71.0
18.719.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 0.6
2199
#27
20.30.5
19.820.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned