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Red150
414339.2
353444.2
17654.4
Blue98
234129.0
590017.9
83641.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1608305010020015098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
54.40.7
56.757.4
Auto15.0
Teleop26.9
End12.6
red by 12.6
836
#23
41.80.4
41.441.8
Auto14.4
Teleop18.9
End8.5
Second
3534
#35
44.20.7
44.945.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End11.5
red by 15.2
2341
#59
29.00.4
28.529.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Third
39.20.7
38.739.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.7
End12.2
red by 21.3
5900
#53
17.90.4
17.517.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned