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Qual 212022 Roebling Division
Red140
17654.4
193933.1
591336.5
Blue107
459326.5
23045.7
436242.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512880100120160180140107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
54.40.9
57.1→58.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.9
End12.6
red by 8.8
230
#4
45.71.2
46.9→45.7
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
Second
5913
#41
36.50.9
38.0→38.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.2
End6.4
blue by 5.6
4362
#37
42.11.2
46.8→45.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.8
End10.1
Third
1939
#16
33.10.9
30.8→31.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End11.1
red by 6.5
4593
#58
26.51.2
27.0→25.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned