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Qual 242022 Roebling Division
Red143
482936.8
543716.1
198742.7
Blue136
363634.2
353444.2
247138.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100129050150200250143136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#26
42.72.7
45.2→48.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.7
End7.2
blue by 1.5
3534
#35
44.20.5
43.6→44.1
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End11.5
Second
4829
#40
36.82.7
35.4→38.1
Auto9.3
Teleop17.2
End10.3
blue by 1.7
2471
#47
38.50.5
41.1→41.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End8.4
Third
5437
#54
16.12.7
17.2→20.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.4
blue by 18.0
3636
#56
34.20.5
32.5→32.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned