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Red138
740750.3
362040.6
319736.3
Blue101
871714.3
571242.9
884011.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136490100150200138101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
50.31.4
49.350.8
Auto14.5
Teleop23.2
End12.5
red by 7.4
5712
#15
42.92.7
39.542.1
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End10.9
Second
3620
#21
40.61.4
38.139.6
Auto9.3
Teleop20.5
End10.7
red by 26.3
8717
#73
14.32.7
10.112.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Third
3197
#12
36.31.4
28.830.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.5
End9.8
red by 25.3
8840
#49
11.02.7
7.39.9
Auto5.2
Teleop2.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned