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Red90
331051.0
219920.3
591336.5
Blue56
590017.9
479536.6
477513.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1355701001502009056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.02.6
57.354.7
Auto11.4
Teleop28.0
End11.7
red by 14.4
4795
#51
36.61.0
39.438.4
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
Second
5913
#41
36.52.6
38.936.4
Auto9.9
Teleop20.2
End6.4
red by 18.6
5900
#53
17.91.0
16.815.8
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End6.6
Third
2199
#27
20.32.6
20.117.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
red by 6.7
4775
#62
13.61.0
6.85.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed