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Red122
346737.5
413033.2
170139.2
Blue143
337440.4
543716.1
740750.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189720406080140160180122143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#43
39.20.7
36.236.9
Auto9.9
Teleop21.8
End7.5
blue by 11.1
7407
#25
50.33.0
46.149.1
Auto14.5
Teleop23.2
End12.5
Second
3467
#17
37.50.7
38.539.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End13.3
blue by 2.9
3374
#18
40.43.0
33.636.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.2
End11.6
Third
4130
#28
33.20.7
33.133.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.0
End10.7
red by 17.1
5437
#54
16.13.0
14.217.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned