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Red119
459326.5
426536.8
362040.6
Blue129
680048.6
221217.8
307536.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411390100110120130140119129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#21
40.60.7
39.640.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.5
End10.7
blue by 8.0
6800
#29
48.60.9
56.357.1
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End8.8
Second
4265
#64
36.80.7
39.440.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End2.0
red by 0.6
3075
#45
36.20.9
36.437.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
Third
4593
#58
26.50.7
26.226.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End7.3
red by 8.7
2212
#70
17.80.9
15.516.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned