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Red85
477513.6
745742.3
871714.3
Blue136
353444.2
445140.7
479536.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58143010020085136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#36
42.31.3
46.547.8
Auto11.4
Teleop20.5
End10.5
blue by 1.9
3534
#35
44.20.6
42.142.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End11.5
Second
8717
#73
14.31.3
12.714.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End3.4
blue by 26.4
4451
#30
40.70.6
43.043.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.3
End11.1
Third
4775
#62
13.61.3
5.87.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 23.1
4795
#51
36.60.6
38.439.0
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned