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Red103
741920.2
121830.6
23045.7
Blue95
482936.8
346737.5
590017.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059405015020010395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
45.70.4
47.647.2
Auto12.8
Teleop19.2
End13.7
red by 8.2
3467
#17
37.50.2
35.535.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End13.3
Second
1218
#20
30.60.4
29.228.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End11.0
blue by 6.2
4829
#40
36.80.2
38.137.9
Auto9.3
Teleop17.2
End10.3
Third
7419
#71
20.20.4
20.319.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End7.7
red by 2.3
5900
#53
17.90.2
15.815.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsMissed