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Red100
190221.2
193933.1
426536.8
Blue107
871714.3
331051.0
247138.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612450100150200100107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#64
36.80.7
40.040.7
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End2.0
blue by 14.2
51.01.1
55.254.0
Auto11.4
Teleop28.0
End11.7
Second
1939
#16
33.10.7
31.732.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End11.1
blue by 5.4
2471
#47
38.51.1
42.641.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End8.4
Third
1902
#48
21.20.7
14.114.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End6.3
red by 6.9
8717
#73
14.31.1
14.113.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned