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Red101
198742.7
477513.6
151125.5
Blue52
884011.0
459326.5
146824.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837205010015010152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#26
42.71.3
45.046.3
Auto12.7
Teleop22.7
End7.2
red by 16.2
4593
#58
26.52.2
27.525.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End7.3
Second
1511
#66DQ
25.51.3
22.624.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End7.1
red by 0.7
1468
#52
24.72.2
30.528.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End4.0
Third
4775
#62
13.61.3
9.210.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 2.5
8840
#49
11.02.2
11.29.0
Auto5.2
Teleop2.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsMissed