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Red87
426536.8
247138.5
233836.7
Blue121
353944.3
346737.5
448142.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412910012014016087121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#47
38.52.8
41.538.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End8.4
blue by 5.8
3539
#31
44.30.9
46.345.5
Auto11.0
Teleop23.6
End9.7
Second
4265
#64
36.82.8
40.737.9
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End2.0
blue by 5.6
4481
#10
42.50.9
40.639.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.7
End6.4
Third
2338
#32
36.72.8
42.840.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End13.6
blue by 0.8
3467
#17
37.50.9
34.834.0
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned