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Red163
4141.9
331051.0
17654.4
Blue153
740750.3
6759.2
589551.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157177100200250163153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
54.40.6
55.756.2
Auto15.0
Teleop26.9
End12.6
blue by 4.7
67
#9
59.20.7
61.260.5
Auto13.4
Teleop31.9
End13.9
Second
51.00.6
54.054.6
Auto11.4
Teleop28.0
End11.7
blue by 0.1
5895
#14
51.10.7
52.251.5
Auto13.4
Teleop30.1
End7.6
Third
41
#11
41.90.6
40.541.1
Auto7.9
Teleop26.1
End7.9
blue by 8.4
7407
#25
50.30.7
50.249.5
Auto14.5
Teleop23.2
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned