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Red88
607828.5
414339.2
680048.6
Blue132
436242.1
445140.7
286917.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140995015020088132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#29
48.62.5
54.551.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End8.8
red by 6.5
4362
#37
42.12.0
43.645.6
Auto13.2
Teleop18.8
End10.1
Second
39.22.5
41.338.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.7
End12.2
blue by 1.5
4451
#30
40.72.0
40.142.1
Auto12.3
Teleop17.3
End11.1
Third
6078
#65
28.52.5
30.227.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End12.5
red by 11.1
2869
#55
17.42.0
14.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned