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Red135
198742.7
307536.2
414339.2
Blue122
193933.1
207543.3
582739.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126114050100150200135122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#26
42.71.0
44.345.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.7
End7.2
blue by 0.6
43.30.6
42.643.2
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End5.5
Second
39.21.0
36.537.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.7
End12.2
blue by 0.4
5827
#50
39.60.6
36.136.7
Auto11.0
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Third
3075
#45
36.21.0
35.736.7
Auto9.1
Teleop19.1
End8.0
red by 3.2
1939
#16
33.10.6
30.230.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsMissed